Basketball and gambling have more in common than you might think. So as to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the event of basketball, having a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out every game irrespective of the matchup provides you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime from the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to betting, you can gain the exact same sort of advantage by having a closely defined set of principles which it is possible to apply to each and every game irrespective of who is on the court.
Fortunately, you do not have to produce your own betting system from scratch. There are already a few recognized strategies which you can try on for size once you put down wagers on your favorite teams, and there’s no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We have included a number of the most reliable systems and money-management strategies below, together with insights on the best way best to use them. When coupled with an comprehension of the sport, these systems might help turn rookie betters to all-stars.
The High Totals System
Few approaches are easier to learn and use than the Top Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and also the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and started taking the over on all matches using an over/under of 220 total points. It is a simple approach, but it paid off handsomely as he had been correct 63.5percent of the time for all games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games were rarities a decade ago, but they’re becoming more common today as teams push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have gotten savvy for this tendency, but there is still value to be found by taking the above in matches with particularly high total-point projections.
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